Saturday, 12 May 2012

Here we are .....it's the last EPL round and everything is still up for grabs!


EPL Planning and Marketing Departments take a bow! Here we are on the last day of the season and everything is still up for grabs. Really don't remember a season conclusion when literally so many outcomes were still to be decided.
I think this is a great strength of the EPL relative to other football competitions and codes.  There may still be a narrow range of sides likely to win the thing but almost every club is capable of causing an individual upset agaist the very best. Even more important than that sides are unlikely to roll over when there own safety is ensured and they play someone with something still to resolve. The cynics amongst us will point out that there is a small matter of £756756 per postion gained in the final league table but I think there is a higher integrity about the clubs than just that.
http://www.football-marketing.com/2011/05/24/premier-league-prize-and-tv-payments-for-2010-11/
Some football competions witness of phenomena called 'tanking' where the club gets favourable treatment if it finishes low down in terms of salary cap payments/allowances. We don't see this stuff rewarded in the EPL.

What then is still to be resolved? For a start at the bottom either Bolton or QPR still could go down.

17 QPR 37 -22 37....... 18 Bolton 37 -31 35

Unfortunately for QPR the single point that will probably ensure safety needs come to come from a game against Premiership favourites Manchester City!

Man City v QPR
Stoke v Bolton

Further up the table there is a three way fight for the ECL spots involing Arsenal, Spurs and Newcastle.
Even this fight is not as straight forward as things might seem on first glance.
As it sits at present
Arsenal 37 +24 67 Spurs 37 +23 66 Newcastle 37 +7 65

Effectively, the team that finishes third will gain automatic entry into the ECL competition proper next season while the fourth team may gain a place in the qualifying rounds. Unusually this qualification outcome is not certain because Chelsea will be given that final spot if they acually win said ECL against Bayern next week! Fair enough you say and I agree with you. Unfortunately, the fifth side (and Chelsea if they get beaten) will be exiled to the embarrassing Thursday evening drudgery of UEFA Cup Channel 4 TV coverage and discovering a way out of it, without having UEFA investigate your club for seeming match fixing.

On this last day a finely balanced series of matches are set
WBA v Arsenal
Spurs v Fulham
Everton v Newcastle

All three clubs can finish as low as fifth and as high as third.

Right at the top it is a question of will Man City hold their nerve. A win for them against QPR will give them the title regardless of what Man Utd do.....any slip up and the red side of Manchester can go past them and secure a record setting twentieth title.

Man City v QPR
Sunderland v Man Utd

As suggested earlier the EPL competition enjoys an integrity where no side will just drop off in a key game. Sure, the fans of the different clubs will dress up to celebrate the season end but all the teams will have their game faces on. Just look at the performance of Norwich last week against Arsenal in what was one of the matches of the season.
Midnight tonight is the time it goes on in Oz and all games will be on live tv.....there will be joy and tears.....bring it on!

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